Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.946802 4.557293 5.231094 6.030017 6.951684 7.981907 9.221395
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.023279 3.794600 4.718714 5.907879 7.398662 9.207440 11.571716
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.357183 3.180816 4.240479 5.704671 7.677935 10.249258 13.862220
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.988564 2.863207 4.062626 5.829158 8.369482 11.898710 17.190481
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.638173 2.500984 3.754340 5.709991 8.692275 13.082756 20.065055
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.482556 2.388060 3.774650 6.055700 9.726479 15.425530 24.992173
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.327611 2.246516 3.723505 6.274464 10.588035 17.620942 30.029717
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.163620 2.060891 3.569262 6.294559 11.119320 19.350653 34.560918
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.974342 1.800377 3.248100 5.975867 11.015674 19.984616 37.287138
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.903057 1.736915 3.257118 6.237474 11.971171 22.591203 43.932598
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.864973 1.728060 3.361422 6.686468 13.333311 26.120497 52.832186
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.796258 1.648924 3.320546 6.846849 14.156446 28.732481 60.319355
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.718157 1.542828 3.219032 6.886326 14.775959 31.097814 67.824339
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.624256 1.389430 2.999805 6.649220 14.786969 32.230153 72.932591
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.540024 1.243507 2.774372 6.362859 14.645230 33.014259 77.402065
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.497432 1.183929 2.727192 6.465720 15.388688 35.846585 86.995012
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.441869 1.085612 2.578661 6.311730 15.513613 37.295392 93.568270
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.426387 1.080635 2.645135 6.679858 16.944395 42.013506 108.893963
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.403570 1.053953 2.655780 6.912204 18.076276 46.179064 123.519212
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.371172 0.997808 2.585703 6.928720 18.660520 49.067134 135.298281
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.324224 0.896182 2.385720 6.574449 18.214718 49.243309 139.818993
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.311710 0.885640 2.421335 6.860275 19.547022 54.319093 158.772677
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.308332 0.899980 2.525629 7.352941 21.534519 61.478195 184.886984